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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: ild who wrote (22655)11/30/2004 2:06:34 PM
From: ild  Read Replies (3) of 110194
 
Date: Tue Nov 30 2004 12:49
trotsky (pedro) ID#248269:
Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved
" ( Gold ETF ) ID#227226:
...sucking up funds that might otherwise be going into Gold Stock shares?"

the short answer is: no.
i don't know of any individuals that have traded one for the other for instance ( does anyone know someone like that? ) and all the ETF seems to have done is bring a new wave of investors on board. as it were, the rationale for buying the gold ETF is by and large not the same as that for buying pm stocks. i suspect the ETF is used by many institutions as a portfolio diversifier to lower risk profiles and overall portfolio volatility. the ETF is an ideal vehicle for that - much more suitable than pm stocks. they have a different audience with largely different goals.

Date: Tue Nov 30 2004 12:24
trotsky (dan) ID#248269:
Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved
"if you're eager to buy treasuries at low yields thinking the housing bubble will reflate..."

this is not what i said - i said the opposite. i think bonds will be a buy because the housing bubble is doomed to collapse, not because i think it's going to 'reflate'.

Date: Tue Nov 30 2004 12:12
trotsky (mini-miner, 10:46) ID#248269:
Copyright © 2002 trotsky/Kitco Inc. All rights reserved
" today's GDP number is good news for all Americans," Snow said. "

it would be more accurate to say: "today's GDP number is as meaningless as those that came before it...if you back out the effects of the statistical tricks invented since 1980, GDP growth would really be at 0.9%, which obviously is very bad news for all Americans."
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