SARS and Avian Flu Message Board

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Biotech / Medical : SARS and Avian Flu

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To: Amy J who wrote (1837)	12/1/2004 3:12:02 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (2) of 4232

<Very well said. It would help if Congress got their priorities right. The flu could kill millions in our country. > 280 million people in the USA, with 30% infections would give 80 million infections. With 70% mortality, that would give 60 million dead Americans. That's about 20,000 times as many as 911 which was considered a major upset. The CDC might be right that the number dead would be a lot less than that, but they might not. Even if the mortality rate was only at sars levels [10%] that would still mean 8 million coffins, which is a LOT of wood. Whatever the numbers, the economic destruction would be an all-time world record. The USA always has done things on a grand scale, both for good and ill, by it or to it. Considering how close the prospect of catastrophe is, it's surprising that there isn't a LOT more commotion about the situation. I suppose that's human nature. People aren't very good on future risk or benefits. Immediacy is pre-eminent in consciousness for most people. Why cross a bridge before you come to it? It's not as though there are a lot of risks of similar scale. Mqurice

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