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Pastimes : SARS - what next?
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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (941)12/1/2004 5:51:22 AM
From: Henry Niman   of 1070
 
Mq, If you really want to know how bad things can get, read

The Threat of Pandemic Influenza: Are We Ready? Workshop Summary (2004)
Board on Global Health (BGH)

books.nap.edu

In 1918 the population was 28% of today's population and the worldwide death toll appears to 50-100 million. The case fatality rate of H5N1 is considerably higher than 1918.

This is from page 44:

Here is part of a letter describing influenza sweep through troops. It does not sound like maodern medicine would help many:

"These men start with what appears to be an ordinary attack of LaGrippe or Influenza and when brought to the Hosp. they very rapidly develop the most vicious type of Pneumonia that has ever bee seen...and a few hours later you can begin to see the Cyanosis extending from their ears and spreading all over the face, until it is hard to distinguish colored men from white. It is only a matter of a few hours until death comes...It is horrible. One can stand to see one, two, or twenty men die, but to see these poor devils dropping like flies...We have been averaging about 100 deaths per day...Pneumonia in all causes death...We have lost an outrageous number of Nurses and Drs. It takes special trains to carry away the dead. For several days there were no coffins and the bodies piled up something fierce.
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