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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: russwinter who wrote (22690)12/1/2004 12:01:07 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
<Although the present emerging tighter stance is likely to produce pain, there is currently no other alternative that can prevent the decimation of economy's real foundations brought about by extremely loose monetary policy. However, we suggest that one shouldn't exclude the possibility that if the economy were to plunge on account of the emerging tighter interest rate stance that the Fed may make a quick reversal of its stance. Whether this possible reversal would arrest the plunge will be determined by the availability of real savings from the rest of the world. >

Another question is will lenders be able to continue such lose underwriting in the face of much higher credit losses and a flattening yield curve this next downturn. Consumer confidence to continue buying and spending by having even more access to credit is IMHO the number one issue in how this all plays out.
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