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Politics : The Castle
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To: Mary Cluney who wrote (4241)12/2/2004 11:44:59 AM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 7936
 
Human social and psychological change is not a matter of math. Even other trends are not things that you can just figure by simple calculation. Many people have predicted disaster, and a smaller number of people have predicted wondrous outcomes, just by following a certain trend that for a time has had exponential growth. The problem with projections based on such growth is that such growth rarely lasts. Trends usually don't go on forever.

From that you can see the inevitability of the reduction of if not the total elimination of violence as a means to resolve conflict.

I see reduction as likely not inevitable, and the reasons for seeing such a reduction as likely have little to do with mathematics.

Tim
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