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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (17568)12/3/2004 6:23:43 PM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
but of course that in no longer the contrarian play up here.. so it may bite me.. what a difference a week makes...

A week makes little difference actually (for Canada).
Check this out
futuresource.com

250 basis points of hikes have been priced out since june!
only 20 last week.

Tons of money could have been made betting against hikes back in june, in spite of the fact there were actually 2 hikes!
Amazing chart really.


Here try another one - the EU
futuresource.com
Hell nowhere near as good as canada but 100 bps of hikes now priced out, not much left here actually unless Europe cuts

one last one
Eurodollars
futuresource.com
a mere 80 bps price out in a much choppier fashion
I think there is a lot more left in that chart, I question how much is left for Canada. In other words too late. Without a doubt Canada was the best one to play back in June.

Mish
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