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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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To: xxreno who wrote (37209)12/7/2004 7:30:15 PM
From: quehubo  Read Replies (1) of 206191
 
The question will be how long can E&P's pay those margins and what ng prices will be required?

Suppose storage ends at 1,400 bcf on 4/1 and that the vast majority of this S/D imbalance has been price sensitive demand waiting for $5-6 NG.

My guess is that NG prices will be going down below $6 to find some customers for Q1 2005.

Last time land drillers day rates spiked we ended up with record storage levels because of a mild Winter and then Summer. Geez, we just had the mild Summer, a spike in day rates and now we are well on our way having a warm Winter to end with high storage levels.

I am confidant of $5-6 ng in 2005 at this point, but when to reload 100% remains to be determined. I think OIH 75 gets tested here shortly.

If you were going to sell would you do it when it was very cold in December or when it was warm in January with high storage levels?
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