Merrill- QCOM positive impact from Nextel / Sprint Combo- (courtesy of AOL)
Snip >>>>>>-
• In addition, we believe Qualcomm bundled along with the CDMA offering an offer to deploy the TD-CDMA technology, developed by privately owned IP Wireless, in the 2.5 GHz MMDS band owned by Nextel. <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<<
Interesting, however I did not find IPWireless on Qualcomm’ Licensee List. George Gilder has spoken on Soma Networks (a Licensee) which Soma states is based on Qualcomm’s technology.
MER Report Highlights: >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
• We believe Qualcomm may have offered to Nextel a unique combination of CDMA EV-DO on its 800 MHz and 1.9 GHz bands, together with a TDCDMA technology to be deployed on the MMDS 2.5 GHz band.
• We believe the combination of CDMA and TD-CDMA as suggested by Qualcomm is compelling for Nextel as it satiates Nextel’s desire to have standard base technology together with unique applications, enabled by the ultra-high bandwidth offered by TD-CDMA technology. This seems to be Nextel’s main objective in its vendor selection.
• The implications of such an eventuality would be positive for Qualcomm and Lucent and negative for Motorola.
• In its search for a differentiating 3G technology, Nextel has so far focused mainly on the OFDM technology of the private company, Flarion. While we think Flarion offers a unique solution, it suffers from lack of vendor support on both the infrastructure and handsets sides.
The Offer
• In our understanding, Qualcomm offers to deploy CDMA EV-DO in the 800 MHz and 1.9 GHz bands that Nextel owns. This will allow Nextel to enjoy the benefits of the well-developed Eco-System supporting Qualcomm’s technology.
• In addition, we believe Qualcomm bundled along with the CDMA offering an offer to deploy the TD-CDMA technology, developed by privately owned IP Wireless, in the 2.5 GHz MMDS band owned by Nextel. This deployment would be designed to provide superior data rates that could support applications impossible in other networks (at least for the next 3-5 years).
IP Wireless TD-CDMA Technology
• The technology developed by IP Wireless is based on TDD UMTS (also called TD-CDMA) and is a part of the 3GPP standard (unlike Flarion, which uses a proprietary solution). It offers higher data rates and better coverage, especially at the edge of the cell area, as compared to WCDMA.
• For example, using two 10 MHz channels, IP Wireless can currently offer 1.5Mbps on the downlink (4.5Mbps in 2006) and 7.2Mbps on the uplink. As a comparison, HSDPA offers only 384kbps uplink speed. In theory, having such an advantage in downlink and uplink speeds could enable Nextel to offer unique applications.
• Also, IP Wireless TD-CDMA technology is a packet based technology both on the up and down links, while WCDMA is still based on Circuit Switch technology, and HSDPA will only make the down link packet based, but not the up link.
The 2.5 GHz spectrum
• Nextel owns licenses for about 60 of the US top 100 markets, and range in bandwidth from about 10 MHz to 200 MHz (with about 90 MHz on average).
• Such a frequency band could enable Nextel to offer very high bandwidth, in excess of 4Mb/s both for the down and up links.
Implications of a Possible Merger with Sprint PCS
• A possible merger between Nextel and Sprint, as conjectured in recent press reports, will increase the attractiveness of Qualcomm’s CDMA offering to Nextel.
• Also, since Sprint is the second largest owner of MMDS frequencies, the combined company coverage in the US market will grow to 80-90% of the top 100 cities, again making Qualcomm’s offering more attractive. |