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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated
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To: LindyBill who wrote (90329)12/12/2004 4:42:25 PM
From: frankw1900  Read Replies (1) of 793791
 
Iran's force projection is through terrorism, not conventional military means. Take away or vastly diminish it's terrorism capability and it becomes only another important Middle Eastern country with the usual problems. Possesing nuclear weapons will not alleviate those.

Whatever else the US decides to do about Iran, it should vigorously attack Hizbollah and the other Iranian proxies through every possible means. The effort to diminish Iran's extra territorial, unofficial, but nonetheless governmental, terrorist reach is far too small. Too many Hizbollah leaders are allowed to survive and its territorial occupation too secure.

This becomes more important as al Qaida's effectiveness is weakened. It will will have to make alliance with Iranian proxies due to continued loss of territorial security and the accompanying loss of technical and informational logistics.

Now that the US has some Shiite allies in Iraq who are hostile to Hizbollah and Khomeneism, attacking Hizbollah and the rest could become more effective.

If the proxies are attacked intensively enough Iran has no way of protecting them.

An anti-Western ideology remains at the core of the Islamic republic, even as the majority of Iranian citizens long to join the West. The Islamic Republic founded Palestinian Islamic Jihad, bankrolls Hezbollah and supplies other Palestinian factions with weapons. According to the Arabic daily Asharq al-Awsat, Iran shelters several hundred Al-Qaida members at Revolutionary Guard facilities near the Caspian town of Chalus and Lavizan, on the outskirts of Tehran. Iranian diplomats know that Washington would consider it a casus belli if Al-Qaida were to plan a terrorist attack from Iranian soil. But if Tehran felt a nuclear deterrent would prevent American or Israeli retaliation, it would have less incentive to rein in its proxy groups.
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