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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: GST who wrote (153920)12/13/2004 6:30:53 PM
From: TimF  Read Replies (1) of 281500
 
Yes, it carries the limitations of sampling

It carries more then just the general limitations of sampling.
There is the fact that the sample was small. The more important fact that it wasn't random. The fact that the studies own margin for error (even if you accept its flawed methods) is enormous, and perhaps most important of all, the apparent fact that its estimates of deaths in Iraq before the war are too low throwing off the calculation that is the basis for the estimate even if the data was solid (and in reality it's questionable)

The "Iraq body count" site, and the Iraqi governments also have estimates. Their methods also have problems but there is no good reason to consider the Lancet study's estimates better.

More on problems with the studies assumptions -
chicagoboyz.net
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