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Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch

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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (68628)	12/15/2004 8:30:52 AM
From: stockman_scott	Read Replies (1) of 89467

OHIO: The Verified Petition to Contest the 2004 Presidential Election in Ohio buzzflash.com BUZZFLASH NEWS ALERT Below you will find copies of the suit mentioned in this article: "Jackson helps challenge ballot totals in Ohio." As the article states, "If the court hears the challenge, it can declare a new winner or throw out the results." The Plaintiffs' Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction From the 16-page document (PDF 429 Kb), page 3: (See website for link) In addition to the overwhelming statistical evidence of deliberative outcome determinative nationwide election fraud which extended to Ohio and which is explained in the affidavits supporting this motion, contestants just received this morning prima facie evidence presented by affidavit of a statewide fraud allegedly conducted that the direction of Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell. The effect of Secretary Blackwell's alleged conduct was and is to cover up and obstruct the lawful investigation by Ohio citizens of the fraud which occurred on Election Day 2004. An image of Page 2: (See Website) * * * The Memorandum in Support of Motion for Temporary Restraining Order and Preliminary Injunction From the 93-page document (PDF 1.27 Mb), page 30-31: The pre-corrected exit poll data for Ohio predicted that Kerry would win 52.1% of the Ohio Presidential vote. The actual certified result shows Kerry winning 48.7% of the Ohio vote. The difference between the exit poll projection of Kerry's share of the vote and the certified actual Kerry share of the Presidential vote is 3.4%. According to standard statistical analysis, assuming a random exit poll sample and an honest vote count, there is a probability of roughly one in a thousand (0.0012) that this certified election result would occur. This implies that there is a 999/1000 chance that the Ohio exit poll result is either not based on a random sample or that the election itself was not honest. The probability that a pollster with the experience, reputation, and ability of Warren Mitofsky would not be able to draw a random sample is vanishingly small. While there are some convincing red herrings which could be raised (e.g., disproportionate spoilage of ballots, alleged reluctance of Bush supporters to speak with exit pollsters), the inescapable conclusion is that there was election fraud in connection with the vote counting in Ohio. BUZZFLASH NEWS ALERT

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