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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

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To: Bilow who wrote (128753)	12/24/2004 8:22:39 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) of 281500

You used a figure of less than 5000 US combat deaths. Assume a very optimistic kill ratio of 10 to 1. That's about 50,000 Iraqis. Out of a population of 25 million, that's about 1 in 500. Now scale that down to the much smaller problem in Palestine. There are something like 3 million Palestinians. One in 500 is about 6,000. The number of Palestinians already killed in the (very mild) scrabble with Israel is considerably higher than that (over the past 60 years), but still they keep on fighting The percentage of Palestinians that are actively against Israel is much greater then the percentages of Iraqis that are actively against the US. In terms of passive opposition pretty much all the Palestinians are against Israel while it is likely that at least many of the Shia will support the new government after the elections. All of which doesn't mean things will be easy in Iraq, I m just pointing out that comparing the population of Iraq and Palestine isn't something that will be very useful in determing how difficult Iraq will be for here. Tim

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