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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Proud_Infidel who wrote (26306)12/30/2004 3:49:12 PM
From: Amy JRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
Brian, 1B is a much better amount. Thanks for the post.

I have friends from several of the impacted countries - so they know how estimates are handled.

When the very first estimate came out at 10,000 deaths, one of my friends said that actually will translate to 100,000 deaths. When complete families get wiped out, there is no one to report this information.

Now that the actual death toll is 117,000, my friend's projected death estimate for the tsunami is approximately 500,000 with the bulk of this amount due to epidemics and starvation. A certain portion of this 500k will never be reported due to foreign systems being so different from ours (limited by resources). Keeping people alive will be a higher priority than body counts.

500,000 deaths is like saying 1 person dead in each and every city around the world per every 12,800 residents.

Regards,
Amy J
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