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Strategies & Market Trends : MARKET INDEX TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MITA
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To: J.T. who wrote (18786)12/31/2004 6:30:09 PM
From: yard_man  Read Replies (1) of 19219
 
if you just look at volality of the DOW within the last 3 years

stockcharts.com[m,a]daclyyay[df][pb50!b200][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

9000 easily in reach -- for 8000, you'd have to go back a little farther. I suppose the way it would happen is the same way it always does when there is a decline: -- more sellers than buyers??

I would be interested in your guesstimates for what will happen with the volatility indices themselves into the first part of the new year -- how low can we go? Have we bottomed? Can we just drift along flat for a good while?

Honestly, I am suprised that options volatility and bond spreads both have simply gone to the bottom and stayed there for a while. Do you have some good fundamental ideas for that or is your approach strictly technical??
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