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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
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To: Square_Dealings who wrote (20141)1/2/2005 12:26:05 AM
From: RealMuLan  Read Replies (2) of 116555
 
-ggg -- Here is some prediction for 2005 by some Chinese talking heads<g>.

1) China might extend RMB trading band by 5%.
2) China might make some new regulation for A share trading to revive the domestic stock market;
3) US$ will continue its decline vs. Euro by another 10-20%;
4) The average oil price will be lower than in 2004, but the price will be more volatile;
5) Global economy will be slow down;
6) Chinese economy will more likely have deflation than inflation;
7) Housing price in China will continue go up by small margin (5-10%);
8) CBoC will be offered on the market;
9) China will set up more Copper and Soy Bean commodity market;
10) Car price will be down >20%.
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