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Politics : Moderate Forum
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To: WWWWWWWWWW who wrote (15023)1/5/2005 3:38:30 AM
From: GUSTAVE JAEGER  Read Replies (1) of 20773
 
Re: How do you explain the numerous aftershocks that have been occurring in the region that have been as strong as 6.5 on the Richter scale?

As Raymond Duray would put it, you lapsed into post hoc reasoning(*)... Those subsequent earthquakes were not "aftershocks" --they were genuine, sui generis earthquakes, not collateral reverberations! As seismographic data below show, earthquakes of magnitude 6 or lower are quite common along active faults:

Last 8 to 30 Days of Earthquake Activity

neic.usgs.gov

(*)post hoc fallacy

The post hoc ergo propter hoc (after this therefore because of this) fallacy is based upon the mistaken notion that simply because one thing happens after another, the first event was a cause of the second event. Post hoc reasoning is the basis for many superstitions and erroneous beliefs.
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