Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (58545)	1/9/2005 12:26:22 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (1) of 74559

Hi Jay - That might work pretty well if there was X) An announcement that anyone who wanted to leave Taiwan could leave Y) Property of people leaving could be sold on an open market, not confisticated. These would allow enough "troublemakers" to leave. Z) Some kind of deal like Hong Kong which would last at 10 years. Since there aren't many people who fought with the Nationalists still around, there won't be too much hardline opposition. *** I think China could have Taiwan by an election within a year IF it was offered a better deal than HK, including a real legislature for local activites, some bill of rights, a real judicial system, ROC military keeping their ranks, etc. Recent Taiwan leadership has not exactly been distinguished...;-) In others words, offer Taiwan the type of government that China will have in about 20-25 years. Of course, that would accelerate change on the mainland. The economic benefits from doing this now are likely much greater than they will be 10 years from now. Military & security benefits would be enormous also. **** I don't think China will do this unless they think their growth rate is really slowing.

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