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Strategies & Market Trends : Ask DrBob

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To: shoreco who wrote (88824)	1/10/2005 3:49:41 AM
From: Drbob512	Read Replies (1) of 100058

shoreco: Here is my 2005 forecast. Yr High Low Year Close Dow 10,868 9650 10,025 S&P 500 1218 1060 1105 Nasdaq 2160 1750 1805 The range will get lower each quarter until we bottom in Sept/Oct. USD will rally in January and February and then fall to below 80 support this year, to a low of 72 in 2nd half of the year. Crude oil will find support at 38-40 in the first quarter, then rally this summer and fall to 56/barrel. Other commodities will also rise from their lows seen in the first quarter of 2005, but will also rise in the 2nd and 3rd quarter, although none of the commodities will rise as much as they did in 2004. 10 year note yield will rise to 4.5% by 2nd quarter and ultimately reach a high for the year near 4.8%. Spot gold will test the 400 level in the Jan-Feb timeframe, but will be higher by the 3rd quarter, possibly back up to the 450 area. JMHO, Dr.Bob

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