Booms, Busts, and Recoveries Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: energyplay who wrote (58691)	1/11/2005 1:20:46 AM
From: Taikun	Read Replies (3) of 74559

EP, Roach noticed 'measured' is gone but the market didn't? Roach has deciphere-how long for this to catch on? I am not sure I like this game of chicken. I am now asking myself if I need to stick around pretty loaded (50% invested) if the Fed surprises us on February 1, 2005. I think we all know what happens if we get a 75bp hike. Hedge funds will be puking up as if they downed a 26er of Jack and went on the 7 flags coaster on a hot summer afternoon. If I book profits now, hold minor positions, and sideline myself, I am thinking there will be bargains, and I think the analysts will soon start projecting more than 25bp on Feb 1 and when the market gets wind of that (maybe next week) this market could become very weak and volatile quickly. I think the amount I stand to lose by exiting early likely exceeds the possible gains by staying long but in a selloff it will be ugly. I am not sure the Fed thinks they can be 'measured' anymore. "Always arrive first to the empty battlefield to await the enemy at your leisure. After the battlefield is occupied and you hurry to it, fighting is more difficult." -Sun Tzu. David

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next