SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: Tommaso who wrote (547)9/2/1997 10:23:00 AM
From: Cage Rattler   of 5676
 
Tommaso:

Thanks for the reply. I appreciate you comments concerning fund management, BEARX, and ease of mind. De'ja' vu. Four or so years ago I took a course taught by a well respected, non-conventional economy professor, Dr. Colander. You echo what he said - "I let someone else worry about it." Along those lines I checked into Rydex Ursa fund last fall. Good thing I didn't move into that one back then; it has been clobbered.

For timing I have relied on Jerry Favor's analysis for the past year. As you may know it is a technical analysis service partially grounded in Wave Theory. After reading Elliott ad hoc mumbo jumbo, that bordered on weird -- golden ratios, pyramids, Fibonacci numbers -- I tossed in the towel. Now I leave the timing aspect of investing to someone else. Life is simpler. Incidently, he predicts a Bull early this week.

Perhaps, someone with theoretical experience has found or developed a formula to help determine a statistically appropriate LEAP or standard Put option assuming a maximum-minimum S&P penetration level. I bet some pregnant plots would develop. Perhaps someone reading the mail will have some input.

Personally, I anticipate a drop of 50% or more from the August's high. Currently I am positioned in Zeros. Safer yes; but lower on leverage.

Ciao, Ted
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News