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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who wrote (24875)	1/18/2005 3:55:04 PM
From: Ramsey Su	Read Replies (2) of 110194

russ, furthermore, What if after the election in Iraq, Bush announces a pull out plan? He knows he is not going to have a parade through the streets of Iraq as the liberator, so why stay there? He should know that we are not going to spend a penny rebuilding Iraq, because any Americans there unprotected will be killed. So all of a sudden, we have a much smaller budget deficit resulting less pressure in rates. The Feds got to realize the high probability of recession if they raise rates. So they are trying to jawbone the rates up instead of actually raising it. These are not my opinions nor predictions, just wondering about the downside risk for shorting interest rate sensitive issues.

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