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Technology Stocks : Advanced Micro Devices - Moderated (AMD)
AMD 207.67+2.2%Jan 12 3:59 PM EST

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To: Rink who wrote (148771)1/23/2005 6:41:48 PM
From: Elmer PhudRead Replies (2) of 275872
 
Rink

Here's a little diddling I've done with the numbers.

Fab cost: $2.5Billion
Depreciation period: 5 years
Wafer capacity per week* 7.5K x 52weeks x 5 years: 1,950K wafers
Depreciation : ~$1282 per wafer
P4 yield* : ~425 GDPW
Depreciation per CPU ~$3.00

Now obviously Intel is not running at full capacity or they could supply the entire Desktop CPU volume from a single fab at the yields used in the calculations. Other products are run. Itanium, large cache P4s, Comms products on their 300mm SiGe process etc but it's still fairly clear that there is extra capacity. So depreciation will be higher until the fabs are fully ramped and filled. Also note that depreciation per die will be proportional to it's yield, for example Itanium with it's much larger die will be burdened with much higher depreciation.

Just my thoughts.

*Wafer capacity is just an estimate and not a claim that this is a fact.

*Assuming excellent yields. P4 yield is just an estimate for calculating the depreciation per CPU and not a claim that this is the actual yield.
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