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Pastimes : SARS - what next?
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To: Maurice Winn who wrote (1002)1/25/2005 5:35:00 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (2) of 1070
 
Another 4 deaths since 20 January and 9 in Vietnam in 3 weeks, still with limited human to human transmissibility:

<The death, the ninth in Vietnam in the past three weeks, brings its toll from bird flu to 29 since the first outbreak hit the region's poultry industry in December 2003. Twelve people died in Thailand last year. Asia's total death toll from the virus is now 41. Most of the victims are believed to have caught the virus from infected poultry but doctors fear it could mutate into one that is easily passed between people, unleashing a global flu pandemic that could kill millions.>

The bug is gaining ground quickly. Graph of H5N1/H7N7/H12N8 infections and deaths.
o = cases x = deaths [cumulative]
19 Jan oooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo 50
19 Jan xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 37 [75%]
25 Jan
25 Jan xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx 41

Here is the sars graph for comparison:
x = 10 deaths.
Cumulative deaths
26 Feb ?
..5 Mar x
12 Mar x
19 Mar x
26 Mar xx
...2 Apr xxxxx
...9 Apr xxxxxxxxxx
.16 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.23 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
.30 Apr xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
..6 May xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx [478]

Mqurice
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