Foreign Affairs Discussion Group Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Bilow who wrote (157008)	1/26/2005 9:14:47 AM
From: michael97123	Read Replies (2) of 281500

Do you see an impending post election split in the insurgency itself with some nationalists choosing to play in the new government having gained some leverage in the non-participation in the election? I have this feeling that the nationalists may end up doing/attempting a Black September on the insurgents in order to gain favor and for ultimate self protection as well. The other side of the coin is that a continued united insurgency will lead to conflict with the shiaa and their kurd allies and a bloody civil war period until they are eventually defeated even if iran participates on the shiaa side in some fashion. US/Iranian relations can warm in such a situation. Iran may feel surrounded by US forces but the biggest threat to the shiaa is ultimately from bin laden. It reminds me of nazi-soviet pact and then its horrific aftermath. It is a battle that will be engaged at some point. mike

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next