3-MONTH EURODOLLARS - CHICAGO MERCANTILE EXCHANGE FUTURES ONLY POSITIONS AS OF 01/25/05 | --------------------------------------------------------------| NONREPORTABLE NON-COMMERCIAL | COMMERCIAL | TOTAL | POSITIONS --------------------------|-----------------|-----------------|----------------- LONG | SHORT |SPREADS | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT | LONG | SHORT -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- (CONTRACTS OF $1,000,000 FACE VALUE) OPEN INTEREST: 7,326,266 COMMITMENTS 631,152 934,779 762,344 5114933 4272606 6508429 5969729 817,837 1356537
CHANGES FROM 01/18/05 (CHANGE IN OPEN INTEREST: 109,963) 61,586 -261,733 -123,939 -187,681 -101,683 -250,034 -487,355 359,997 597,318
PERCENT OF OPEN INTEREST FOR EACH CATEGORY OF TRADERS 8.6 12.8 10.4 69.8 58.3 88.8 81.5 11.2 18.5
NUMBER OF TRADERS IN EACH CATEGORY (TOTAL TRADERS: 236) 36 65 69 119 125 199 218
Small specs are plowing into ED shorts Short interest 1,356,537 They added 597,318 short contracts just last week The entire net short position is 538,700 contracts Quite frankly this is amazing
In the meantime the big specs took off 200,147 contracts That leaves the big guns short 303,627 contracts. Just as the big boys are taking profits, small specs are playing "The Greenspan Hedge" to the max.
Take a look at today's GDP numbers, and IF we see some poor monthly jobs data that causes Greenspan to pause, there is going to be blood in the water on those small spec eurodollar shorts.
Mish |