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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: Knighty Tin who wrote (22495)1/31/2005 11:26:04 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
U.S. Dec. new home sales flat as inventories build
Monday, January 31, 2005 3:16:55 PM

WASHINGTON (AFX) - Sales of new homes were nearly unchanged in December after a big drop off in November, the Commerce Department reported Monday

New home sales increased 0.1 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.098 million units in December from a downwardly revised 1.097 million in November, originally reported as 1.126 million. Sales had peaked at 1.263 million in October

The inventory of unsold homes on the market increased by 2.6 percent to 432,000, the highest level in 31 years. The inventory represents a 4.8-month supply at current sales rates, the highest since July 2000

Economists were expecting a bounce back in sales to about 1.18 million in December, according to a survey conducted by MarketWatch

In all of 2004, a record 1.183 million new homes were sold, up 8.9 percent from 2003's 1.086 million. It's the fourth year in a row for record new home sales

The median price of a new home increased 13.2 percent year-over-year to $222,000 in December. For all of 2004, the median price increased 12.2 percent to $218.900

Most economists expect housing to slow, but not collapse, as the Federal Reserve continues to raise short-term interest rates at a measured pace. Despite five increases in the federal funds rate during the year, however, average mortgage rates have been steady

The regional picture was mixed in December, suggesting that weather may have been a factor in sales. While sales in the Midwest jumped by more than 50 percent, sales declined about 16 percent in both the Northeast and South. Sales increased about 6 percent in the West

The government cautions that its housing data are particularly prone to sampling and other statistical errors. It can take six months to establish a new trend in home sales. In December, the six-month average sales rate was 1.154 million, down from 1.170 million in November

forexstreet.com
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