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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
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To: mishedlo who wrote (22630)2/1/2005 10:35:54 PM
From: John Vosilla  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
<You completely ignore the affects of a housing crash and
conclude that inflation will occur as housing and the stock market crashes. Not likely.>

Should we be watching Great Britain and Australia to see if a housing downturn/collapse leads to a depression? Housing downturn appears to be underway but the stock market is holding strong. Isn't it possible for the housing bubble in the US to deflate along the coasts, crash in a few property types in areas with excess speculation and appreciate in much of the midwest while the stock market and economy stagflates along like in the 70's with no true debt cleansing taking place? Perhaps a true cleansing and deflation/depression won't take place unless the long end rises several percentage points first which you say has zero chance of happening if I recall .
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