Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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To: mishedlo who wrote (22971)	2/6/2005 1:20:12 PM
From: Crimson Ghost	Read Replies (1) of 116555

Heinz and Mish see deflation on the near-term horizon, but the index of leading inflation indicators is signalling rising price pressures. NEW YORK, Feb 4 (Reuters) - U.S. inflation pressures rose in January as a result of faster growth in loans, but that was offset by slower growth in input prices, a report said on Friday. The Economic Cycle Research Institute's Future Inflation Gauge, which is designed to anticipate cyclical swings in the rate of inflation, rose to 120.0 in January from an upwardly revised 118.7 in December, the research group said. The index's annualized growth rate, which smooths out monthly fluctuations, rose to 4.5 percent in January from an upwardly revised 3.4 percent in December. "The index is designed to signal the future direction of inflation, and it is clearly telling us that there is no downturn or easing of inflation in sight. This is at odds with the market's initial response to today's weaker-than-expected jobs report," said Lakshman Achuthan, Managing Director of ECRI.

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