Should U.S. attempt manned missions to the Moon? Message Board

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Pastimes : Should U.S. attempt manned missions to the Moon?

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To: Fangorn who wrote (37)	2/10/2005 3:43:51 PM
From: TimF	Read Replies (1) of 41

If a hit of a certain size happens on the average once every million years, and its been 5 million years since it happened there isn't "near certainty" that it will happen soon. "Overdue" doesn't matter. If the average is one per X yers, than in the next X years we have a 50% chance of it happening. Its not like an earthquake or volcano where stresses build up over time and if they aren't released for awile it becomes more likely that they will be released in the near future. re spinoffs... Your point also assumes that the money would not have been spent by government on all the other stuff they spend our money on, most of which offers no hope of positive technology spinoffs. There is that. If it has to be spent by the government space exploration isn't the worse way to spend it. Tim

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