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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: russwinter who wrote (26418)2/14/2005 12:01:52 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (2) of 110194
 
Clearly the primary dealers are finally facing the reality of having to pay for the new paper.

what do you think about the fact that the primary dealers are at a record high for leverage? is this a risk for them, the way high margin debt poses a risk for the stock market? if it is a risk, then the risk would seem to lie in forced liquidation a/k/a distress selling (as it always does for the overleveraged). but i don't know how that would manifest for the primary dealers.

perhaps a bond market bake sale where the only item on the menu is "toast"? and if Uncle Al can trump any distress selling with monetization, maybe it's USD burnt to a crisp?

any ideas?
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