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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Henry Niman who wrote (26854)2/21/2005 12:13:59 PM
From: Wyätt Gwyön  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
CDC's effort to lower case fatality by wishing it away doesn't work

i don't see how they are "wishing it away". look at what she said:

"It's impossible to predict what the consequences would be. We might have a relatively mild pandemic like we did in 1968," Dr Cox told the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

"Alternatively, we could have a relatively severe pandemic as occurred in 1918 or perhaps even worse."


simply recognizing the possibility that the fatality rate might be lower than 76% does not, in my mind, constitute an "effort to lower case fatality by wishing it away". again:

"'It is very frightening to see such a high case fatality rate,' said Dr Cox, but she said it might be that less serious or ambiguous cases had not been picked up, which would mean the real rate could be lower than this."

at least in that article, it did not mention her "wishes". although i personally would forgive her if she is not jumping for joy if the fatality rate is super-duper high...
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