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Strategies & Market Trends : Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (24259)2/24/2005 1:50:11 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) of 116555
 
>>>IMHO we are quite cloe to a top in the US stock market and historically I think politically it is wise to plunge the economy into recession in 2006 only to recover in 2007/8 ahead of elections<<<

That's the pattern that John Train assumed in his book "Preserving Capital and Making it Grow." The pattern did not hold up very well 1992-2004, mostly because every time a correction seemed likely to take hold, the Fed extended more and more credit, or encouraged its extension. It might be about to reestablish itself with a vengeance.
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