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Gold/Mining/Energy : Big Dog's Boom Boom Room

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From: quehubo2/26/2005 7:55:03 AM
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Damn I just crossed 5 years of investing here in the patch and when money keeps falling on me I moved out of the way too soon. I began to focus on this sector in Q1 2000 and before long invested almost only in this sector. After 5 years I have averaged 41% returns without the full benefit of compounding as have managed to spend about 25% of the gains.

I have not been expecting a big selloff when I have raised cash but made the misjudgement of thinking how much higher can they go on this leg up?

Commodities have entered a new realm and now I am not so sure being 58% cash this morning is that smart after all. Holding NBR PTEN CHK and thats it for now.

Natural gas prices right now are betting on something and I dont see it. I see demand falling with these prices and per Robry data we are in for a very poor draw this week based on 185 GW HDD. We should have a draw of 120 but Robry who has been estimating high for weeks is looking for a ~90.

ftp://ftpprd.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/cpc/htdocs/temp/wheat.states

ftp://ftpprd.ncep.noaa.gov/pub/cpc/htdocs/temp/
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