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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: LindyBill who wrote (102546)	2/28/2005 3:59:25 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) of 793912

This is almost "real time." Caveman in Beirut - Monday Morning in Beirut blissstreetjournal.blogspot.com Future TV reports that Walid Jumblatt is now with the protesters in the downtown area (haven't seen him yet on TV, but all his deputies are there at the time I write this). Also, far from the intentions of the security services surrounding the protest site, Lebanese soldiers appear to be yielding to protesters that manage to evade the primary dragnets around the area - just letting them through in some cases, and in others waiting for a crowd to develop before letting them join the core group. Right now, it looks like additional protesters are having a fairly easy time getting in to the demonstrations as long as they come on foot and just keep walking until they find a weak spot in the cordon. One commentator on Future even noted that soldiers themselves are directing protesters to the aforementioned weak points. We can infer that there exists substantial sympathy for the opposition within the Lebanese army at this point. Prime Minister Karami is watching his comments about the weakness of the army develop a life of their own, I guess; he should not be at all surprised. In the October 2000 demonstrations in Yugoslavia that deposed Slobodan Milosevic, it was precisely this kind of sympathy for the opposition within the security services that ended the Milosevic government. Milosevic had become too reliant on his interior ministry police and on rural thugs who were on his payroll to intimidate his opponents, and he paid for it when a real opposition to his regime developed. Ultimately, the checkpoints of his own police were coopted with money; demonstrations grew in numbers and in strength; security cordons collapsed; the parliament was breached. Within days Yugoslavia had a new president, and within weeks Milosevic had been arrested by his own interior ministry police.

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