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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
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To: Road Walker who wrote (221696)3/3/2005 8:49:42 AM
From: Elroy  Read Replies (2) of 1573891
 
I'm not sure those are necessary to the definition of civil war.

In order to fight a protracted, multi year WAR, you definitely need those things I listed (bases, weaponry, training camps, and especially funds). Without them, you are never going to get the "insurgents" to be anything more than a minority terrorist fringe group. 10,000 Sunni crazies out of an Iraqi population of ~22 million (with ~7 million non-crazy Sunnis) aren't fighting a war in any normal sense of the word. They are essentially exploiting the anarchy left over from the power vaccuum.

You sound certain that Iraq will emerge from this as a single entity, with everyone living in peace and harmony.

Not sure why you think I think that. Personally, think the country would be better if split into three regions. But it may be able to stay together - all that would take is for the ~10,000 crazy Sunnis to accept their current positions as equals rather than than the former entitled position they held under Saddam. I don't know whether they can do that, but the longer they hold out the worse and worse they are going to make it for themselves, imo.

I find it hard to believe the Sunni insurgency can continue to fond suicide losers for years to come.
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