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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Les H who wrote (27817)3/5/2005 6:26:16 PM
From: Amy JRead Replies (2) of 306849
 
"house prices would need to remain flat for over ten years to bring America's ratio of house prices to rents back to its long-term norm."
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"The figures look even more striking in the San Francisco Bay Area, where it is possible to rent an $800,000 house for $2,000 a month. Making the same assumptions about rents and house prices, but also deducting tax relief on a fixed-rate mortgage and adding property taxes, a buyer would pay $120,000 more over seven years than if he had rented. House prices in San Francisco would need to rise by at least 4% a year (2% in real terms) for it to prove cheaper to buy a house. Since 1950 American house prices in real terms have risen by an annual average of just over 1%. To expect them to rise faster from their current dizzy heights smacks of irrational exuberance, to say the least."

economist.com
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