The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: Ramsey Su who wrote (28019)	3/7/2005 3:53:09 PM
From: John Vosilla	Read Replies (1) of 110194

What is the price tag of a systemic failure? Ramsey do you recommend good old cash until things get real bad? Though I do not think a deflation or depression is the likely outcome I do give it a much greater chance than any positive outcome without major damage to the economy. Since I think it is a stagflationary rolling depression and a currency crisis somewhere in there with a long term natural resource and energy boom I look more to gold and Texas real estate for the next 5-7 year period as best bets. Cash in perhaps CD's of 1-2 yr duration will surely outperform coastal real estate, large cap and financial stocks in any of our scenarios.

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