< In Vietnam, the northern cases are milder than the southern, and in the north the human to human transmission is most obvious.>
Well, there's some good news. How much milder? 50% mortality instead of 80%? Only 5 times as bad as sars. Great!
If one gets just a single virus instead of a whole drop, or 100 drops, from somebody sneezing in the vicinity, does that result in a milder infection, on the basis that the victim's immune system would start work before the infection had really started multiplying at huge speed? It takes something like 3 days for a new virus to be figured out by the immune system, so if a day could be saved, that would improve survival.
If doomed to get the infection anyway, and there's no vaccination, it might be better to take Tamiflu, then put one virus on the tip of the tongue, go to bed, and prepare for war. That seems better than waiting to be attacked en masse. One could choose the circumstances of the fight; warm, sunny weather, food supplies handy, lots of Tamiflu ready, nutrition levels good beforehand, maybe right after another flu, which would still provide some immune system supercharging.
Then, get a job as a high-paid nurse for H5N1 victims. Immune people will be very useful in the war.
Mqurice |