Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction Message Board

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Politics : Just the Facts, Ma'am: A Compendium of Liberal Fiction

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To: Oeconomicus who wrote (30587)	3/8/2005 8:39:10 PM
From: Lazarus_Long	Read Replies (1) of 90947

Complicated subject, subject to many varying assumptions. Just went through with Smithee in PM. users.rcn.com That shows that is present growth rate were to continue, we would hit a population of 46B in 2150. Supporttable? Very doubtful. At the bottom. it shows population plotted against time assuming diffrent total fertility rates (TFRs). Stability is achieved (surprise!) at about 2. Below that, popuulation declines. Right now it is 2.8. If population control is NOT achieved, disaster is unavoidable. Malthus WILL win. Another interesting graph which basically shows the effect of prosperity on population: prb.org IF you can come up with the resources to get the world pop to first world standards, it would likely stabilize and decline. If.

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