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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Suma who wrote (20860)3/11/2005 7:26:31 PM
From: E_K_S  Read Replies (2) of 78464
 
For an undervalue play with a company that has a lot of potential, I am buying ABS (Albertsons). They own the Sav-On and Osco Drug stores. They recently announced that their Shaw's division will implement the "Store w/in a Store" and build more Osco Drug stores in their Shaw's stores. The company is in a four year restructuring with a lot of potential but have had their problems (mainly with labor contracts which now have been resolved).

They pay a good dividend while you wait for them to get their stores profitable. They have a franchise in their drug stores which I believe they have not really structured to complement their grocery operation.

If you are looking for a value play with low risk, this is the company you want to speculate on. It may be another 24 months before earnings begin to grow. A lot depends how management differentiate their businesses with high end stores Vs specialty stores.

Management has a long term plan and have been quite successful in negotiating new labor contracts. It's not a slam dunk as Costco, Target and Walmart provide similar cost effective services.

ABS has a better Internet presence and if integrated with their local facilities (especially their pharmacy division), I think they can be very competitive. I like their plan to expand into the sunbelt states (Phoenix, Nevada etc.) where many of the baby boomers plan to retire and will need their drugs.

I have been wrong many times but have established a large position in this company at prices below $20. My target (if management can fully implement their changes) is $40/share in 36 to 48 months.

EKS
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