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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity

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To: whitepine who wrote (22921)3/14/2005 1:12:12 PM
From: kodiak_bull  Read Replies (2) of 23153
 
WP,

How on God's green earth will "knowing" something you call root base, fundamental "value" help you make money? If you can determine that, with 99% accuracy, laying up a golf ball to the side of a water hazard so you can 3 stroke around it to the green will "guarantee" you that you won't lose a ball (and suffer a lost ball and a lost ball penalty) will that make you score better as a golfer?

Maybe you are supposed to lose 1 ball out of 10 by aiming over the water hazard to get to the green in one or two strokes, rather than the safe 5 strokes?

RISK is not determined by how do I avoid losing a single penny 99% of the time, RISK is determined by how do I optimize by reward:risk ratio so that, over time, my gains outweigh my risks by a healthy factor.

In golf again, expect to lose 10 balls in water hazards over a season's golf if you want to shoot in the low 80s. They're just golf balls, after all. If you never lose a golf ball you are destined to shoot 112, 108, 116 . . .

And that ain't the way to play golf.

Kb
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