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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

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To: John Vosilla who wrote (29203)3/23/2005 12:26:53 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
<Right now business sucks and they keep building. >

Well, it may be STARTING to suck... but it hasn't sucked... we're talking long large cycles here... maybe it's just finally rolling over, but as far as I know you don't have stuff trading below replacement. I agree with you about inventory, AND I don't think it matters {at current price of homebuilder stocks} WHO's inventory it is! If investors unrelated to the builders are holding inventory even remotely in the same area as the builders {OK, optioned} dirt... the builder AIN'T GOING TO BUILD SCRATCH. The inventory will undercut him.

DAK
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