SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory

 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: russwinter who wrote (29400)3/25/2005 5:54:46 PM
From: CalculatedRisk  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
russ, I agree with the general thrust of that commentary (too much debt), but his numbers are not quite correct. The FED "Flow of Funds" report shows $37 Trillion in debt, but some of it is double counted.

Here is what I get (Billions):
Government Debt:
Federal $4317
Trust Fund $3200
State $1670
TOTAL Government $9187

Household Debt:
Mortgage $7261
Consumer Credit $2124
TOTAL Household $9949 (includes some small items)

Business Debt: $7671

Financial Sectors: $11,674

TOTAL DEBT: ~$38 Trillion. GDP rate (based on Q4, 2004) is $11,967 Billion.

The Financial Sectors debt is primarily for intermediation so it is probably double counted. I would think $27 or so Trillion would be the correct number.

The debt situation is not a pretty picture, but it is not as bad as Mr Radley's commentary would portray.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext