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Strategies & Market Trends : The Epic American Credit and Bond Bubble Laboratory
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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (29916)4/3/2005 11:59:58 AM
From: dpl  Read Replies (1) of 110194
 
The long term inflation/deflation cycle tells us that it will be a FF rate far less than 6 3/4%.

Here is what we have so far.

1981(peak) 20%
1990 10%
2000 6 3/4 %

Note that there also was inversion all three times.Bonds were 15 1/2,9 1/2,6 3/4.

BTW 1987 was not a bubble from a classic view or a cycle view.

David
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