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Technology Stocks : Aladdin Knowledge Systems (ALDN)

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To: av ram who wrote (101)9/4/1997 10:25:00 PM
From: FrLR   of 351
 
The stock may be susceptible to a short term pullback( with the low between 14 and 12.75). But that will not last long and be the last big opportunity to buy under 15.
This stock is horribly undervalued in a market that is now favoring small cap stocks. ALDNF management has told us they are trying to be
conservative in their estimates - ie look for more positive earnings surprises. With 90c 1997 EPS and PE expansion to 20 we get a lower target price of $18 by next EPS report. If the stock gets a 20 PE based on 1998 EPS of $1.04( this number should be moved up after next quarter) we get a $20 stock price. However if we get PE expansion to
30 we get a $30 price. Now then if the expansion goes all the way to
the 36.4 PE that is the average in this stocks sub industry group, we will have a price approaching $40 per share.
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