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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: Elroy Jetson who wrote (29128)4/6/2005 5:24:16 AM
From: RobohogsRead Replies (1) of 306849
 
How about a commodities bubble (of course would hurt real economy to some extent) or a renewed stock market bubble (second stage) or something else? I think the weak dollar recently was more of a function of low dollar interest rates and low dollar returns and to some extent Asian govt buying of dollars.

This dollar buying may slow but I do not think the Asian countries can afford to allow collapse of US - might be better in long run but who focuses on long run when you have starving today. Also, Greenspan will precipitate some crisis somewhere and then reinflate as per usual. Where is the flashpoint this time? HY bonds/bank debt (GM factor)? Emerging markets (interesting that stocks are flattish given widening of debt yields)? Hedge world? JPM? DB? Citi? Other derivative houses?

I must say I am baffled for one.

Good luck!

Jon

PS You mentioned Citi Australia accounts with some yield. Where are the current savings rates? I ask as I am marrying a HK Chinese woman with Aussie citizenship and so may want to keep some money in Australia - she is very fond of it.
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