The Residential Real Estate Crash Index Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: X Y Zebra who wrote (29231)	4/7/2005 9:27:54 PM
From: CalculatedRisk	Read Replies (1) of 306849

Yes, it is very complicated. If we slide into recession, I think it will be global (especially China), so oil prices should ease - maybe substantially - and that will help. I assume Greenspan will stop raising rates, but there are other factors impacting longer rates. We might see something unusual for a couple of years, a slower economy and higher interest rates. That is what I was speculating about in that post on virtuous vs. vicious cycles. Just a possibility: calculatedrisk.blogspot.com On this issue, I suggest reading Roubini and Setser: roubiniglobal.com roubiniglobal.com Best Regards.

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