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Strategies & Market Trends : Natural Resource Stocks

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To: isopatch who wrote (23698)4/14/2005 10:23:04 AM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (6) of 108786
 
re: Gold meltdown........

I posted earlier about the "Talking Points" recently being spewed about the Gold Price from Larry Kudlow and Steve Forbes et al....

The US leadership needs POG at around $365-$385...as part of US Policy vis a vie our very real and overheating "Cold WAR" ongoing with China...to signal that there is no INFLATIONARY canary in the coal mine alarm going off...if and when; they decide to ramp Oil thru $80 to bring the Chinese to their knee's.

They will "sell us" on Oil being a much smaller part of GDP today than 10 years ago... (they've already been planting those seeds)and they'll point to the Gold Price and say - "see; Gold is not signalling inflation" from the Oil move,,,, the US Economy can handle it just fine - don't worry, be happy etc...

Nothing wrong with trading in & out of the downward slope that appears to be coming...maintaining a "CORE" only position on Gold/PM's.

For me - that's a 10-12% portfolio weighting in this geopolitical environment.

Guys.... we can effectively trade a downward cycle leg... just as effectively as we can an upcycle leg.

Be patient... stay light & nimble...and don't be afraid to just maintain a floating "CORE" only position.

The time to re-load THY BOAT... will come.

Patience & Cash will be rewarded.

Most here have exercised the above during the recent Oilpatch sell off ( another great call by ISO !)...be patient.

good luck all~
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