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Strategies & Market Trends : Precious Metals mutual funds (gold, silver, PGMs)

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To: Larry S. who wrote (919)4/25/2005 9:05:01 PM
From: Larry S.  Read Replies (1) of 972
 
Wade & Dan et al,

I'm late again posting the GMI ratio stuff but, as I noted two weeks ago, we seem to be in a consolidation and the GMI ratio bit doesn't appear to offer any help in figuring out where we are or are going.

I haven't noticed anything in Barron's recently of particular significance to PMs nor have lease rates told me anything. They are just very very low. So; I will get on with catching up on my posts concerning the Barron's GMI for the last two weeks.

The GMI/POG ratio:

On 4/14, the Barron's GMI was 591.57 down significantly from last week's prior 636.80. With the POG down a little at 424.60 (4/15), the ratio was down at 1.39.

On 4/21, the Barron's GMI was 603.45 up from the prior week's 591.57. With the POG up at 434.60 (4/22), the ratio was unchanged at 1.39.

The ratio continues in the middle range where it doesn't suggest a rise or drop in the POG. It is clear that there is very little speculation behind the price of stocks at this time.

The ratio a year ago was 1.47, reflecting the fact that the optimism in the markets was slightly greater than today.

Larry
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