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Strategies & Market Trends : The Residential Real Estate Crash Index

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To: mishedlo who wrote (30151)4/26/2005 4:11:40 PM
From: Elroy JetsonRead Replies (3) of 306849
 
When looking at "Existing Home Sales" keep in mind that the way this data is reported was recently changed by David Lereah, Chief Economist for the National Association of Realtors.

Previously, the NAR reported three categories of Existing Sales: Single Family; Condo; and Co-op.

Effective April 1, 2005 these sales were consolidated into one single Existing Home Sales and the historical data has also been changed. Last month we heard about the change in "Existing (single-family) Home Sales" and this month we are hearing about the change in "Existing (single-family, condo, co-op) Home Sales".

This is important. As you reach the end of a real estate bubble, "Existing Single Family Home" sales decline as few buyers can afford to buy, while the speculative activity moves to "Existing Condo/Co-op Home" sales which increase all the faster.

If BMW previously sold 5 million luxury cars and now sold 5.5 million Mini-Coopers but no luxury cars - how well are they doing really? We need to look at total dollar sales - something which is not reported for "home" sales.
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